Election fallout: will government plan to get 3rd Heathrow runway be hit?

The Conservatives are set to form a minority government, which could affect a range of transport issues from Heathrow expansion to road schemes even if the Conservatives remain in Government. Although Theresa May intends to continue as prime minister, with the support of the DUP, we are now entering a time of uncertainty. Anti-Heathrow expansion campaign group HACAN has done its own research on MPs, showing that 31 of the capital’s 73 MPs are known to oppose the runway. HACAN chair John Stewart said: ‘Once the views of all London’s MPs are known, it is highly likely that a majority will be opposed to Heathrow expansion. Of themselves they may not stop it but they could act as a very awkward bloc to a new runway ever seeing the light of day, particularly given the fact that the new Government doesn’t have a majority of seats in Parliament.’  Rob Barnstone, coordinator for Stop Heathrow Expansion, the group representing residents opposed to the project, claimed the failure of the Conservatives to win a majority in the Commons has created less certainty on issues including the third runway at Heathrow. He said: “The Government were relying on a large parliamentary majority, including many new and loyal backbenchers, to push through a third runway. “Now that Theresa May’s gamble has rendered her anything but a conquering hero, the future of the project looks much less certain and potentially in jeopardy.”
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Election fallout: Will transport schemes be hit?

By Chris Ames (Transport Network)
9th June 2017

The Conservatives are set to form a minority government, which could affect a range of transport issues from Heathrow expansion to road schemes even if the Conservatives remain in Government.

Although Theresa May intends to continue as prime minister, with the support of the DUP, we are now entering a time of uncertainty.

The currency markets last night rose and fell almost as a bellweather against a hung parliament, with city investors crying out for some form of the ‘strong and stable’ government once promised by the PM.

Is Heathrow expansion at risk?

With international financial markets yet to even face the actual Brexit negotiations, which were due to start in under a fortnight, many in the infrastructure sector are feeling nervous about supplies of major investment.

Marie-Claude Hemming, director of external affairs at the Civil Engineering Contractors Association, said: ‘Our most recent member survey showed orders dropping for infrastructure contractors for the first quarter since 2013. A lack of clear leadership in Westminster creates a real risk that this potential future downturn will become entrenched due to an inability to get vital decisions over the line.

‘We hope that there will be an early resolution to the current uncertainty over the shape of any new Government, allowing decisions on projects such as HS2 to be made and work to get underway on building the infrastructure that the UK needs.’

Anti-expansion campaign group HACAN claimed on Friday that over half of London’s MPs are likely to oppose a third runway at Heathrow. It said its research found that 31 of the capital’s 73 MPs are known to oppose expanding the airport.

HACAN chair John Stewart said: ‘Once the views of all London’s MPs are known, it is highly likely that a majority will be opposed to Heathrow expansion. Of themselves they may not stop it but they could act as a very awkward bloc to a new runway ever seeing the light of day, particularly given the fact that the new Government doesn’t have a majority of seats in Parliament.’

Addressing illegal levels of air pollution will represent a serious challenge for any government, particularly the Conservatives who have failed twice to put forward a planned process the courts can agree to.

The Government was forced to publish a new draft national air quality plan during the election campaign but campaign group ClientEarth has already said it believes the plan to be inadequate and is taking ministers back to court for a third time.

Another major infrastructure project that could come under scrutiny is the proposed Lower Thames Crossing, which is backed by current transport secretary Chris Grayling and could cost up to £6bn.

Labour has said it supports the scheme but that if it came into government it would ‘need to ensure that the decision making process has been completely robust and represents the best value for money’.

Labour’s manifesto also pledged to ‘refocus the roads building and maintenance programmes, connecting our communities, feeding public transport hubs and realising untapped economic potential’.

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See also

Around 42% of London MPs (since the election) oppose a 3rd Heathrow runway

List from John Stewart, Chair of Hacan, (the main residents’ group working on Heathrow noise issues) of the MPs known to be, or believed to be, opposed to a 3rd Heathrow runway. So far they number 31 MPs out of the total of 73, and more details may be added when the information is known. In the 2005 election, the Conservatives had 306 seats. In the 2010 election they had 330 seats. Now in the 2017 election, the Conservatives have 318 seats. The party wants to get the 3rd Heathrow runway built. The Conservatives may form an alliance with the Irish DUP, which has 10 MPs and is a firm backer of the 3rd runway. That alliance would take the Tories to 328 MPs, which is 3 above the key number of half the MPs in the Commons (650). The hung parliament will make it harder for the government to force through highly contentious, and widely unpopular polices like the runway.

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